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Your bank stopped lending to businesses. It lends to lenders now.

3 months ago

Your bank stopped lending to businesses. It lends to lenders now.

One dollar in every ten American banks lend now goes to another lender. Fifteen years ago it was less than one in a hundred.

America's safest retirement product moved offshore

3 months ago

America's safest retirement product moved offshore

$2.4 trillion of life insurance reserves have been signed over to reinsurers. Bermuda took 84% of the share that left the country, and the rules there are not the rules here.

People paid $6 to own $1 of bitcoin. That just broke.

3 months ago

People paid $6 to own $1 of bitcoin. That just broke.

For five years a stock traded far above the coins inside it, and used the gap to buy more. In June the premium became a discount — and the machine started running backward.

Companies are failing fast. Lending to them has never been cheaper.

3 months ago

Companies are failing fast. Lending to them has never been cheaper.

372 big bankruptcies in six months, the most since 2010. Yet the reward for owning junk debt is near a record low. Those two don't belong together.

The market looks calm. The stocks inside it are on fire.

3 months ago

The market looks calm. The stocks inside it are on fire.

One crowded trade is holding the whole index still. It's made billions — and it already broke once this year.

The safest loan in the world just started costing too much

3 months ago

The safest loan in the world just started costing too much

At year-end, the overnight repo rate punched through the Fed's ceiling. The cushion that used to prevent that is gone — and the Fed is buying Treasuries again.

The biggest buyer in the market isn't an investor. It's the company itself.

3 months ago

The biggest buyer in the market isn't an investor. It's the company itself.

Companies bought a record $1.02 trillion of their own stock. The insiders running them are selling four shares for every one they buy.

The safest market in the world is priced for zero risk. One name isn't.

3 months ago

The safest market in the world is priced for zero risk. One name isn't.

Oracle's default insurance just hit a record while the whole bond market yawns. We followed the money behind the AI buildout.

The Fed is Buying Treasuries Again

3 months ago

The Fed is Buying Treasuries Again

QT is over. And QE is quietly back, just under a different name.

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Stop reading the news a day too late.

Independent. Anomaly-first. Weekly.

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No part of this publication constitutes financial advice.